The Legislative Analyst’s Office (LAO) provides policy and fiscal advice to the State Legislature and releases public analyses of budget proposals and predictions on future budget years based on tax revenue. These analyses often contain comparisons between the budget proposals each year and their own fiscal projections for that year, which come from a variety of factors including projected tax revenue and trends and investments from previous fiscal years. The LAO released its overview of the January 10 Governor’s Budget Proposal, providing key budget insights to organizations, agencies and other interested parties earlier this month.
Jason Sisney, director of state finance at the LAO, reviewed the LAO’s release for the January 10th Budget Proposal, which calculated “that the Governor’s plan addressed a $58 billion potential California budget deficit for 2024.”
According to Sisney’s substack, “The Governor’s revenue estimates are roughly $15 billion higher than LAO’s over the three-year ‘budget window’ (22-23 through 24-25), LAO says, terming the Governor’s estimate ‘plausible, but optimistic.’ The LAO discusses how the Governor’s Proposition 98 plan is treated in deficit calculations, stating that the Governor’s budget proposal ‘lacks a plan for implementing proposed reductions to schools and community colleges.’ The Legislature likely will face more difficult choices next year, the LAO report says.”
For lobbyists and policymakers, that difference between the proposal and the LAO’s analysis matters. Not only is it important to understand how optimistic or realistic the annual Governor’s proposals are, we also seek to understand how this budget fits into planning for future budget years and how investments from previous budget years are affected by the Governor’s proposal. The Policy Team has several methods and strategies we use when engaging with the state budget process annually.
At California Trout, the Policy Team is primarily concerned with funding packages that are earmarked for either natural resources or climate change. We also look for specific funding that is directed towards agencies and partners we frequently work with.
In addition to reading through the budget and its analyses, looking at reports, and speaking with folks in the legislature about their priorities, we also consult our partners and other organizations when looking at promising investments–or potentially concerning cuts.
After consultation with other folks and taking a deep dive into the LAO’s report and the proposal, the Policy Team is taking a close look at the following cuts made in the Governor’s January 10th Proposal:
While the legislature is working to make changes, the public and other interested parties like CalTrout have several opportunities to weigh in. One of the ways we can advocate for changes to the Governor’s Fiscal Agenda is through supporting budget change proposals (BCPs), which are submitted by state agencies and departments.
A BCP could ask for funding for certain programs, positions, and other priorities that the applicant wants to be included in the fiscal year budget. Organizations like CalTrout are then able to support these proposals when speaking with the legislature and their staff about budget issues.
Here are a few of the BCPs the Policy Team is supporting this year:
The Policy Team spends ample time building relationships with legislators, their staff, and with other important decision makers. Once we have a grasp on the Governor’s proposal and the proposed changes that agencies want to make, we schedule meetings with staffers to understand their priorities and advocate for ours while their legislators work hard to make necessary changes to the Governor’s proposal.
We also build coalitions of support around issues that matter to us–we coordinate with our partners to write letters of support, hold meetings about the budget together and coordinate our efforts to build strong advocacy for the environment. Several parties will likely benefit from a single BCP or allocation, so we do our best to work together and create a united front when confronting challenging cuts like those we’ll see this year.
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Peter Moyle is the Distinguished Professor Emeritus in the Department of Wildlife, Fish and Conservation Biology and Associate Director of the Center for Watershed Sciences, at UC Davis. He is author or co-author of more than 240 publications, including the definitive Inland Fishes of California (2002). He is co-author of the 2017 book, Floodplains: Processes and Management for Ecosystem Services. His research interests include conservation of aquatic species, habitats, and ecosystems, including salmon; ecology of fishes of the San Francisco Estuary; ecology of California stream fishes; impact of introduced aquatic organisms; and use of floodplains by fish.
Robert Lusardi is the California Trout/UC Davis Wild and Coldwater Fish Researcher focused on establishing the basis for long-term science specific to California Trout’s wild and coldwater fish initiatives. His work bridges the widening gap between academic science and applied conservation policy, ensuring that rapidly developing science informs conservation projects throughout California. Dr. Lusardi resides at the UC Davis Center for Watershed Sciences and works closely with Dr. Peter Moyle on numerous projects to help inform California Trout conservation policy. His recent research interests include Coho salmon on the Shasta River, the ecology of volcanic spring-fed rivers, inland trout conservation and management, and policy implications of trap and haul programs for anadromous fishes in California.
Patrick Samuel is the Conservation Program Coordinator for California Trout, a position he has held for almost two years, where he coordinates special research projects for California Trout, including the State of the Salmonids report. Prior to joining CalTrout, he worked with the Fisheries Leadership & Sustainability Forum, a non-profit that supports the eight federal regional fishery management councils around the country. Patrick got his start in fisheries as an undergraduate intern with NOAA Fisheries Protected Resources Division in Sacramento, and in his first field job as a crew member of the California Department of Fish & Wildlife’s Wild and Heritage Trout Program.